A
hypothesis (=
assumption in ancient
Greek) is a proposed explanation for a phenomenon.
In early usage, a hypothesis was a clever idea or convenient mathematical approach that would simplify calculation but did not necessarily have any reality at all. This is the sense in which
Cardinal Bellarmine used the word when he warned
Galileo away from treating the motion of the
Earth as a reality.
In common usage at present, a hypothesis is a provisional idea whose merit is to be evaluated. A hypothesis requires more work by the researcher in order to either confirm or disprove it. In the
hypothetico-deductive method, a hypothesis should be
falsifiable, meaning that it is possible that it be shown to be false, usually by
observation. Note that if confirmed, the hypothesis is not necessarily proven, but remains provisional. See
statistical hypothesis testing. See also:
learning.
As an example, someone who enters a new country and observes only white sheep might form the hypothesis that all sheep in that country are white.
It can be considered a hypothesis, as it is falsifiable. It can be falsified by observing a single black sheep. Provided that the experimental uncertainties are small (for example that it is a sheep, instead of a goat) and that the experimenter has correctly interpreted the statement of the hypothesis (for example, does the meaning of "sheep" include rams?), the hypothesis is falsified.
- "... a hypothesis is a statement whose truth is temporarily assumed, whose meaning is beyond all doubt. ..." -- Albert Einstein
References
Isaac Newton,
Principia Mathematica. A New Translation by I. Bernard Cohen and Anne Whitman, translators. University of California Press 1999 Order:
ISBN 0-520-08817-4
Letter to Eduard Study from Albert Einstein,
September 25,1918
Collected Papers of Albert Einstein, J.J. Stachel and Robert Schulmann, eds. Princeton University Press 1987
Category:Science
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